Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
FAL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 0
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FAL
2 - 2
ALL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ICT
2 - 3
FAL
70%
20%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STE
4 - 2
FAL
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
AYR
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
QOS
0 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 0
GRE
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ROS
2 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |