Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
GLA
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
HIB
1 - 1
FAL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FAL
4 - 1
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
QOS
2 - 2
FAL
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FAL
5 - 0
ALL
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUM
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 0
STM
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
DUM
5 - 0
ALL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ALL
0 - 2
DUM
40%
24%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
GLA
4 - 0
DUM
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |