Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1916 |
HOM
1 - 6
FAL
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1916 |
FAL
0 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1916 |
HAM
1 - 1
FAL
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1916 |
FAL
1 - 1
TLA
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1916 |
RAI
0 - 6
FAL
18%
21%
61%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1916 |
DUM
3 - 1
MHE
74%
16%
11%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1916 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUM
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1916 |
DUM
2 - 1
HIB
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1916 |
GLA
6 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1916 |
DUM
2 - 1
STM
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |