Falkirk vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
FAL
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 3
RAI
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QOS
0 - 0
FAL
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
FAL
3 - 0
HAM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 1
FAL
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 2
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 2
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 1
AYR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AYR
1 - 3
ROS
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AYR
1 - 3
PAR
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |