Falkirk vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ARB
2 - 0
FAL
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FAL
1 - 0
STJ
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 2
FAL
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FAL
2 - 1
CLY
57%
22%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ROS
1 - 1
FAL
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ICT
2 - 0
AYR
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
AYR
1 - 1
STM
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 2
FAL
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
AYR
0 - 0
STJ
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |