Falkirk vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
THE
0 - 2
FAL
34%
26%
41%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
ICT
2 - 3
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
STR
3 - 2
FAL
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FAL
2 - 4
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
HIB
2 - 1
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
AYR
2 - 1
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
AYR
1 - 2
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
AYR
0 - 1
RAI
71%
17%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
STM
1 - 1
AYR
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |