Falkirk vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
PAR
2 - 2
FAL
46%
21%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
FAL
5 - 1
STM
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
FAL
5 - 2
TLA
59%
18%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1937 |
DUN
0 - 2
FAL
35%
22%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
FAL
3 - 0
STJ
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
ARB
3 - 0
DUN
17%
18%
65%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1937 |
ARB
2 - 1
PAR
39%
23%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
ARB
0 - 0
KIL
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
QUE
2 - 1
ARB
61%
19%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
ARB
4 - 2
ALB
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |