Falkenbergs vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAL
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 2
IKB
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
FAL
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 1
UME
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FAL
4 - 0
IFK
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
IFK
1 - 1
LAN
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
3 - 0
IFK
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 0
IFK
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
IFK
0 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IFK
1 - 0
AFC
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |