Fakel vs Sochi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
55.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TOM
2 - 0
FAK
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 0
FAK
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
SAT
2 - 1
FAK
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FAK
2 - 1
VOL
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
KHI
1 - 3
FAK
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 1
SPA
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 1
SOC
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |