Fakel vs Metallurg Oskol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ZVE
2 - 3
FAK
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FAK
3 - 2
KAL
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 2
FAK
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
FAK
3 - 2
POD
68%
21%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 2
FAK
33%
28%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Oskol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 4
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
MET
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 3
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 0
MET
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
ORE
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |