Fakel vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ZEN
2 - 4
FAK
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
FAK
3 - 2
RAD
71%
20%
9%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
FAK
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 3
FAK
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FAK
4 - 1
KAM
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
4 - 1
SPA
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
KAM
0 - 1
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
BAL
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SIB
3 - 0
ARS
27%
30%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
VNN
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |