Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
20%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29%
16.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SNF
0 - 2
FAJ
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
FAJ
0 - 0
NIR
63%
25%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
BES
0 - 1
FAJ
13%
26%
61%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AST
0 - 1
FAJ
10%
24%
67%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
FAJ
0 - 0
MSV
52%
28%
21%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
MSB
2 - 2
MSV
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
MSB
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MSB
1 - 1
PAY
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 1
MSB
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
MSB
1 - 0
SHA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |