Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
KAM
0 - 1
FAG
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
ZWE
1 - 1
FAG
30%
29%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FAG
2 - 1
MAT
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
TOK
2 - 3
FAG
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FAG
2 - 1
ROA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
REN
0 - 4
SHI
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SHI
1 - 1
JEF
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SHI
3 - 0
YOK
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
SHI
73%
19%
8%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 0
SHI
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |