Fagiano Okayama II vs Azul Claro Numazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 3
SON
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
FAG
71%
16%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 0
AZU
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FAG
0 - 1
MIO
43%
22%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
FAG
0 - 1
RKD
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 0
URA
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AZU
2 - 1
HON
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 0
AZU
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 1
AZU
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AZU
3 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +2 |