Fafe vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GON
1 - 2
FAF
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
FAF
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 0
PED
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
FAF
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
FAF
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIZ
2 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIZ
1 - 1
ANA
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
VIZ
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GON
1 - 3
VIZ
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIZ
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |