Fafe vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+115%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
11º
9º
12
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 4
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
FAF
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
FAF
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 3
SAO
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 0
VSC
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VSC
2 - 2
MON
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
VSC
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 1
SAN
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |