Fafe vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
1º
10
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 4
FAF
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 3
FAF
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 1
CAN
34%
28%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 0
CAN
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIA
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 1
TRO
14%
25%
61%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
2 - 0
VIA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |