Fafe vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
6º
12
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
2 - 1
NAC
7%
14%
80%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
FAF
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VSC
2 - 6
FAF
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
FAF
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
VIT
6%
16%
78%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIA
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
VIA
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
VIA
55%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
LUS
18%
27%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VIA
3 - 2
SAL
15%
24%
62%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |