Fafe vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
64.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
11º
9º
33
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FAF
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 0
FAF
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FAF
2 - 1
ANA
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRA
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
VAR
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIL
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAO
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |