Fafe vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
GFC
1 - 3
FAF
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 3
ACV
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIZ
0 - 1
FAF
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
COV
3 - 1
FAF
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAM
48%
28%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COV
1 - 0
VAR
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 4
SPC
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
VSC
1 - 0
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
POR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |