Fafe vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
FAF
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 2
FAF
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
FAF
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIB
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
VAR
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
MIR
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
BUS
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |