Fafe vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
FAF
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FAF
0 - 1
OSL
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FAF
2 - 0
FAM
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 3
VAR
24%
26%
49%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIB
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 1
VAR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |