Fafe vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
12%
23%
65%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 0
FAF
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
BSC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
FAF
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 2
FAF
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
5 - 0
UNM
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 3
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 2
FAF
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PED
2 - 3
UNM
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |