Fafe vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 0
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
POR
2 - 1
FAF
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
SPB
2 - 2
FAF
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIT
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 1
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
UNM
3 - 2
ESP
37%
28%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 2
UNM
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEL
31%
28%
40%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
UNM
2 - 3
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
MAI
3 - 2
UNM
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |