Fafe vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
4º
1º
20
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
FAF
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
ANA
51%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
FAF
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 0
VIA
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 1
CAN
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
VIA
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 1
TRO
19%
25%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
TRO
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
ANA
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |