Fafe vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 3
FAF
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 1
FAF
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
RIB
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 2
FAF
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAF
4 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
4 - 1
RIB
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
TIR
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 2
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |