Fafe vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 0
FAF
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FAF
4 - 1
BRA
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 2
AVE
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAF
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 1
GFC
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 1
SPC
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
POR
4 - 0
SCP
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 2
BRA
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
55%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |