Fafe vs Rio Ave II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 0
FAF
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FAF
3 - 2
MON
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FAF
0 - 2
TIR
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 0
FAF
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 1
SMA
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
TIR
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 0
RIO
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
SMA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
RIO
6%
13%
81%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
FEL
0 - 0
RIO
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |