Fafe vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
FAF
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FAF
2 - 0
PED
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAI
0 - 2
FAF
10%
21%
70%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FAF
3 - 0
OSL
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
FAF
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIR
4 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 1
FEL
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
ADO
63%
21%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PED
2 - 2
MIR
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |