Fafe vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 2
FAF
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 1
VIZ
41%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 1
FAF
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FAF
3 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
FAF
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MIR
3 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
PED
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 1
MIR
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 2
VIZ
13%
24%
64%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 0
MIR
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |