Fafe vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MER
4 - 5
FAF
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
FAF
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FAF
0 - 1
OSL
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIB
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
3 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
MIR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |