Fafe vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MIR
0 - 1
FAF
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 1
VSC
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 2
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 2
FAF
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 3
VSC
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
20%
26%
54%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VSC
3 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |