Fafe vs Joane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GON
0 - 0
FAF
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FAF
7 - 1
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
FAF
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 0
FAF
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
JOA
1 - 3
RIB
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 0
JOA
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
JOA
0 - 2
MIR
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 1
JOA
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
JOA
0 - 0
VIZ
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |