Fafe vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 3
TRO
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 0
FAF
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
JOA
0 - 2
FAF
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
TOR
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 2
FEL
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 0
SAC
22%
28%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 2
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 1
ANG
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
3 - 0
IDE
39%
23%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |