Fafe vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 3
LUS
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
VAR
16%
25%
59%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
FAF
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VIA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
FEL
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 3
ANA
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 8
FEL
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
TRO
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
FEL
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |