Fafe vs Chaves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 1
FAF
14%
24%
62%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 1
GFC
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 3
FAF
13%
24%
63%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FAF
4 - 1
UEQ
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TRO
0 - 0
FAF
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
SMA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TRO
3 - 1
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 3
CHA
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
FEL
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |