Fafe vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
LUS
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
FAF
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 2
FAF
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 0
FAF
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
CAN
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
FAF
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
ANA
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAN
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |