Fafe vs Amarante analysis


54	ELO	58
-6%	Tilt	-10.7%
4128º	General ELO ranking	3484º
72º	Country ELO ranking	59º
ELO win probability

36.8%

Fafe

27.4%

Draw

35.7%

Amarante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

36.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%

27.4%

Draw

0-0

8.8%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.4%

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-16%

-31%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

14

1º

6º

5º

13

2º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	30	30	1º	100%
2º	26	26	2º	100%
3º	22	22	3º	100%
4º	21	21	4º	100%
5º	14	14	5º	100%
6º	14	14	6º	100%
7º	13	13	7º	100%
8º	13	13	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fafe

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
05 Apr. 2025	1DE 1 - 0 FAF 32% 28% 40%	54	51	3	0
29 Mar. 2025	FAF 1 - 0 VAR 39% 28% 34%	53	57	4	+1
15 Mar. 2025	SCP 0 - 0 FAF 54% 24% 22%	53	55	2	0
09 Mar. 2025	FAF 0 - 1 BEL 38% 26% 36%	53	56	3	0
02 Mar. 2025	ATL 4 - 0 FAF 46% 26% 28%	54	56	2	-1

Matches

Amarante

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Apr. 2025	AMA 2 - 1 VAR 46% 27% 26%	58	57	1	0
30 Mar. 2025	AMA 0 - 1 SCP 48% 26% 26%	58	55	3	0
15 Mar. 2025	BEL 0 - 0 AMA 43% 27% 29%	58	57	1	0
09 Mar. 2025	AMA 2 - 0 ATL 41% 27% 32%	57	57	0	+1
01 Mar. 2025	LUS 2 - 1 AMA 55% 25% 21%	57	60	3	0