Faetano vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
FAE
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
FAE
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |