Faetano vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CAI
1 - 0
FAE
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
FAE
4 - 0
FIO
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
FOL
3 - 3
FAE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 1
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
FAE
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 1
TFI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 1
DOM
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VIR
0 - 0
GSD
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 0
SGI
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |