Faetano vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
7 - 1
FAE
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 4
TPE
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
19%
20%
60%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 3
COS
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
FAE
73%
16%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TPE
0 - 0
PEN
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |