Faetano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COS
1 - 10
FAE
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TPE
1 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
3 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 3
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |