Faetano vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 1
VIR
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
3 - 3
FAE
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
6 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LIB
4 - 2
COS
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 3
TPE
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |