Faetano vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
FIO
3 - 4
FAE
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 1
SGI
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
VIR
4 - 1
LIB
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
TPE
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 1
LIB
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |