Faetano vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAI
4 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
LIB
3 - 4
FAE
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
TPE
2 - 1
FAE
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
FAE
2 - 2
COS
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
FOL
5 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
COS
1 - 3
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 0
TFI
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
FOL
1 - 1
SGI
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |