Faetano vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
69.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
TPE
5 - 0
FAE
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FAE
0 - 1
CAI
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FIO
1 - 0
FAE
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 0
FAE
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CAI
0 - 3
FIO
9%
19%
72%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 0
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 3
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 1
JUV
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |