Faetano vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
FAE
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FAE
0 - 2
TPE
7%
17%
76%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 3
FAE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 2
VIR
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
FAE
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 1
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 2
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |