Faetano vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
TPE
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FAE
3 - 1
VIR
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 3
FAE
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 2
FAE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 3
COS
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
COS
0 - 2
TPE
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
COS
1 - 4
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |