Faetano vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COS
1 - 4
FAE
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
TFI
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FAE
2 - 1
TFI
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
3 - 0
FAE
29%
24%
48%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 0
TFI
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
3 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
5 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |