FAC Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1953 |
GRA
3 - 0
FAC
62%
18%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
FAC
1 - 5
LAS
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FAC
2 - 2
FCW
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1953 |
WIE
3 - 2
FAC
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
FAC
2 - 2
AUS
40%
20%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
LAS
2 - 0
STR
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
STR
2 - 0
FCW
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
STR
2 - 4
RAP
29%
20%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
RBS
5 - 2
STR
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
STR
2 - 3
AWM
35%
21%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |